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UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUpUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$9.88
Combined PnL
-$13.57
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares26
Combined PnL-$15.62
Down2 traders
Total Value$9.88
Total Shares10
Combined PnL+$2.05
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 51.9¢ | $12.62 | — | -$12.62 | 63% 51715-30440 (82155) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $2.95 | — | -$2.95 | 56% 57878-44713 (102591) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112010-58363 (170373) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 61% 94613-59581 (154194) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $2.88 | $4.88 | +$2 | 64% 22724-12523 (35247) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$12.62
Value
—
PnL
-$12.62
Record
63%
51715-30440 (82155)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$2.95
Value
—
PnL
-$2.95
Record
56%
57878-44713 (102591)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112010-58363 (170373)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
61%
94613-59581 (154194)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$2.88
Value
$4.88
PnL
+$2
Record
64%
22724-12523 (35247)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9bb3ff00...fcc427
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793317200