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UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUp
MayorMamdani<$100DownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$56.27
Combined PnL
-$48.32
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares133
Combined PnL-$57.51
Down2 traders
Total Value$56.27
Total Shares56
Combined PnL+$9.19
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.3¢ | $15.32 | — | -$15.32 | 63% 51691-30414 (82105) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 80.6¢ | $42.14 | — | -$42.14 | 64% 22669-12483 (35152) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 94.2¢ | $39.38 | $39.25 | -$0.13 | 55% 44647-37116 (81763) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 45.2¢ | $7.7 | $17.02 | +$9.32 | 56% 57846-44687 (102533) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 111990-58338 (170328) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$15.32
Value
—
PnL
-$15.32
Record
63%
51691-30414 (82105)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$42.14
Value
—
PnL
-$42.14
Record
64%
22669-12483 (35152)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$39.38
Value
$39.25
PnL
-$0.13
Record
55%
44647-37116 (81763)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$7.7
Value
$17.02
PnL
+$9.32
Record
56%
57846-44687 (102533)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111990-58338 (170328)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcaff1cae...b7ae3c
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793316600