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DownUpDownDown
MayorMamdani<$100Down
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$25.67
Combined PnL
$7.6
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$25.67
Total Shares26
Combined PnL+$8.79
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares7
Combined PnL-$1.19
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $4.85 | $12.13 | +$7.28 | 56% 57846-44687 (102533) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.19 | — | -$1.19 | 52% 89996-84488 (174484) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $4.26 | $5.26 | +$1 | 64% 22669-12483 (35152) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 61% 94573-59553 (154126) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $2.83 | $3.29 | +$0.46 | 55% 44647-37116 (81763) |
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$4.85
Value
$12.13
PnL
+$7.28
Record
56%
57846-44687 (102533)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.19
Value
—
PnL
-$1.19
Record
52%
89996-84488 (174484)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$4.26
Value
$5.26
PnL
+$1
Record
64%
22669-12483 (35152)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
61%
94573-59553 (154126)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$2.83
Value
$3.29
PnL
+$0.46
Record
55%
44647-37116 (81763)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x66f61354...236f30
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793316300