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UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDown
BoneOhio<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$63.3
Combined PnL
$17.76
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$63.3
Total Shares63
Combined PnL+$43.99
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares52
Combined PnL-$26.23
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 23.8¢ | $13.75 | $57.69 | +$43.93 | 63% 51691-30414 (82105) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 26.5¢ | $8.81 | — | -$8.81 | 52% 89996-84488 (174484) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $7.9 | — | -$7.9 | 61% 94573-59553 (154126) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 55% 44647-37116 (81763) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 64.5¢ | $5.52 | — | -$5.52 | 66% 111990-58338 (170328) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $5.55 | $5.61 | +$0.06 | 74% 102371-36367 (138738) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$13.75
Value
$57.69
PnL
+$43.93
Record
63%
51691-30414 (82105)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$8.81
Value
—
PnL
-$8.81
Record
52%
89996-84488 (174484)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$7.9
Value
—
PnL
-$7.9
Record
61%
94573-59553 (154126)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
55%
44647-37116 (81763)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$5.52
Value
—
PnL
-$5.52
Record
66%
111990-58338 (170328)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$5.55
Value
$5.61
PnL
+$0.06
Record
74%
102371-36367 (138738)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe2b78f8f...f1f71c
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793316000