Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 50%
$80.73
$3.53
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 92.8Β’ | $30.93 | $33.33 | +$2.4 | 55% 44511-37010 (81521) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 69Β’ | $15.36 | $22.26 | +$6.9 | 57% 70359-53462 (123821) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.4Β’ | $3.02 | β | -$3.02 | 61% 94436-59427 (153863) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 84Β’ | $16.8 | $20 | +$3.2 | 65% 22438-12338 (34776) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 8Β’ | $1.06 | β | -$1.06 | 63% 51591-30353 (81944) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 16Β’ | $1.98 | β | -$1.98 | 52% 89866-84321 (174187) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 44Β’ | $4.4 | β | -$4.4 | 56% 57788-44629 (102417) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 71Β’ | $3.65 | $5.14 | +$1.49 | 66% 125199-64428 (189627) |
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$30.93
Value
$33.33
PnL
+$2.4
Record
55%
44511-37010 (81521)
Invested
$15.36
Value
$22.26
PnL
+$6.9
Record
57%
70359-53462 (123821)
Invested
$3.02
Value
β
PnL
-$3.02
Record
61%
94436-59427 (153863)
Invested
$16.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.2
Record
65%
22438-12338 (34776)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.06
Value
β
PnL
-$1.06
Record
63%
51591-30353 (81944)
Invested
$1.98
Value
β
PnL
-$1.98
Record
52%
89866-84321 (174187)
Invested
$4.4
Value
β
PnL
-$4.4
Record
56%
57788-44629 (102417)
Invested
$3.65
Value
$5.14
PnL
+$1.49
Record
66%
125199-64428 (189627)
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