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UpUpDownDownDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$25.88
Combined PnL
-$32.51
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$25.88
Total Shares26
Combined PnL-$0.6
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares53
Combined PnL-$31.91
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $17.04 | $10 | -$7.04 | 66% 125199-64428 (189627) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 59.4¢ | $9.44 | $15.88 | +$6.44 | 65% 22438-12338 (34776) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $12.6 | — | -$12.6 | 57% 70359-53462 (123821) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 66.1¢ | $7.81 | — | -$7.81 | 52% 89866-84321 (174187) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $6.8 | — | -$6.8 | 61% 94436-59427 (153863) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $4.7 | — | -$4.7 | 63% 51591-30353 (81944) |
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$17.04
Value
$10
PnL
-$7.04
Record
66%
125199-64428 (189627)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$9.44
Value
$15.88
PnL
+$6.44
Record
65%
22438-12338 (34776)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$12.6
Value
—
PnL
-$12.6
Record
57%
70359-53462 (123821)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$7.81
Value
—
PnL
-$7.81
Record
52%
89866-84321 (174187)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$6.8
Value
—
PnL
-$6.8
Record
61%
94436-59427 (153863)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.7
Value
—
PnL
-$4.7
Record
63%
51591-30353 (81944)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x36bb0410...c34380
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793281500