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DownUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownUpDownDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 71%
Total Value
$20
Combined PnL
-$31.08
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares64
Combined PnL-$33.51
Up2 traders
Total Value$20
Total Shares20
Combined PnL+$2.43
Down — 71%Up — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 39.9¢ | $22.11 | — | -$22.11 | 66% 111875-58207 (170082) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 95.5¢ | $10.51 | $11 | +$0.49 | 66% 125156-64405 (189561) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $3.4 | — | -$3.4 | 55% 44484-36982 (81466) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $7.06 | $9 | +$1.94 | 61% 94398-59400 (153798) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $2.88 | — | -$2.88 | 52% 89831-84292 (174123) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 43.4¢ | $2.98 | — | -$2.98 | 57% 70341-53444 (123785) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $2.15 | — | -$2.15 | 63% 51566-30344 (81910) |
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$22.11
Value
—
PnL
-$22.11
Record
66%
111875-58207 (170082)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$10.51
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.49
Record
66%
125156-64405 (189561)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.4
Value
—
PnL
-$3.4
Record
55%
44484-36982 (81466)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$7.06
Value
$9
PnL
+$1.94
Record
61%
94398-59400 (153798)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.88
Value
—
PnL
-$2.88
Record
52%
89831-84292 (174123)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$2.98
Value
—
PnL
-$2.98
Record
57%
70341-53444 (123785)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.15
Record
63%
51566-30344 (81910)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdc74fb1b...036d31
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793279700