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UpDown
MayorMamdani<$100DownDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$78.29
Combined PnL
-$5.07
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares48
Combined PnL-$28.64
Down4 traders
Total Value$78.29
Total Shares78
Combined PnL+$23.56
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.5¢ | $28.64 | — | -$28.64 | 66% 111875-58207 (170082) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 60.3¢ | $21.49 | $35.62 | +$14.13 | 57% 70341-53444 (123785) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $22.63 | $23.33 | +$0.7 | 55% 44484-36982 (81466) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $5.63 | $11.73 | +$6.1 | 65% 22398-12314 (34712) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 65.3¢ | $4.97 | $7.61 | +$2.64 | 66% 125156-64405 (189561) |
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$28.64
Value
—
PnL
-$28.64
Record
66%
111875-58207 (170082)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$21.49
Value
$35.62
PnL
+$14.13
Record
57%
70341-53444 (123785)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$22.63
Value
$23.33
PnL
+$0.7
Record
55%
44484-36982 (81466)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$5.63
Value
$11.73
PnL
+$6.1
Record
65%
22398-12314 (34712)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$4.97
Value
$7.61
PnL
+$2.64
Record
66%
125156-64405 (189561)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd870d6b2...9b3c00
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793278500