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UpUpDownDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$41.48
Combined PnL
$1.31
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$41.48
Total Shares41
Combined PnL+$5.14
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares40
Combined PnL-$3.82
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $13.84 | $16.48 | +$2.64 | 66% 111846-58190 (170036) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $22.5 | $25 | +$2.5 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 52% 89796-84260 (174056) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 61% 94365-59372 (153737) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.8¢ | $1.29 | — | -$1.29 | 66% 125109-64377 (189486) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 55% 44462-36957 (81419) |
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$13.84
Value
$16.48
PnL
+$2.64
Record
66%
111846-58190 (170036)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$22.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$2.5
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
52%
89796-84260 (174056)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
61%
94365-59372 (153737)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.29
Value
—
PnL
-$1.29
Record
66%
125109-64377 (189486)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
55%
44462-36957 (81419)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe2c83d0f...b7d823
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793272800