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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 50%

Total Value

$119.55

Combined PnL

-$6.74

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares111
Combined PnL-$107.43
Up6 traders
Total Value$119.55
Total Shares120
Combined PnL+$100.7
Down — 50%Up — 50%
AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$37.95

Value

—

PnL

-$37.95

Record

65%

22359-12289 (34648)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$26.49

Value

—

PnL

-$26.49

Record

57%

70317-53442 (123759)

0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100
Up

Invested

$2

Value

$25

PnL

+$23

Record

48%

23169-25372 (48541)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$19.99

Value

—

PnL

-$19.99

Record

66%

111846-58190 (170036)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.3

Value

—

PnL

-$4.3

Record

52%

89796-84260 (174056)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$12.91

Value

—

PnL

-$12.91

Record

66%

125109-64377 (189486)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Up

Invested

$12.84

Value

$18.81

PnL

+$5.97

Record

63%

51542-30333 (81875)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.79

Value

—

PnL

-$5.79

Record

61%

94365-59372 (153737)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Up

Invested

$1.19

Value

$23.88

PnL

+$22.69

Record

62%

43662-26649 (70311)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$1.1

Value

$18

PnL

+$16.9

Record

55%

44462-36957 (81419)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$1.12

Value

$18.62

PnL

+$17.5

Record

56%

57762-44611 (102373)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Up

Invested

$0.61

Value

$15.24

PnL

+$14.63

Record

59%

62097-43210 (105307)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xabb76a68...26f062
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793271900

Traders in this Market

AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$37.95
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$26.49
0X

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $25

+$23
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Down — $0

-$19.99
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.3
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Down — $0

-$12.91

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $18.81

+$5.97
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$5.79

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $23.88

+$22.69

MayorMamdani

Up — $18

+$16.9
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