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DownDownDownUpDownUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$79.78
Combined PnL
$6.17
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$79.78
Total Shares80
Combined PnL+$8.15
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares73
Combined PnL-$1.99
Down β 67%Up β 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86.4Β’ | $42.28 | $48.95 | +$6.67 | 65% 22359-12289 (34648) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 85.2Β’ | $17.75 | $20.83 | +$3.08 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 97Β’ | $4.81 | $3 | -$1.81 | 61% 94365-59372 (153737) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 18Β’ | $1.33 | β | -$1.33 | 52% 89796-84260 (174056) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 97Β’ | $6.79 | $7 | +$0.21 | 66% 125109-64377 (189486) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.66 | β | -$0.66 | 59% 62097-43210 (105307) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$42.28
Value
$48.95
PnL
+$6.67
Record
65%
22359-12289 (34648)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$17.75
Value
$20.83
PnL
+$3.08
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$4.81
Value
$3
PnL
-$1.81
Record
61%
94365-59372 (153737)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
β
PnL
-$1.33
Record
52%
89796-84260 (174056)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$6.79
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.21
Record
66%
125109-64377 (189486)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.66
Value
β
PnL
-$0.66
Record
59%
62097-43210 (105307)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc9c210dd...43288b
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793270400