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UpDown
MayorMamdani<$100UpDownDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$47.96
Combined PnL
-$11.38
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$47.96
Total Shares48
Combined PnL+$10.31
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares54
Combined PnL-$21.69
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 72.5¢ | $23.09 | $31.85 | +$8.76 | 65% 22283-12231 (34514) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 41.8¢ | $13.23 | — | -$13.23 | 66% 111803-58146 (169949) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $14.56 | $16.11 | +$1.55 | 55% 44407-36899 (81306) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $3.43 | — | -$3.43 | 52% 89734-84193 (173927) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $4.02 | — | -$4.02 | 61% 94291-59323 (153614) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 63% 51496-30306 (81802) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$23.09
Value
$31.85
PnL
+$8.76
Record
65%
22283-12231 (34514)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$13.23
Value
—
PnL
-$13.23
Record
66%
111803-58146 (169949)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$14.56
Value
$16.11
PnL
+$1.55
Record
55%
44407-36899 (81306)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$3.43
Value
—
PnL
-$3.43
Record
52%
89734-84193 (173927)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$4.02
Value
—
PnL
-$4.02
Record
61%
94291-59323 (153614)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
63%
51496-30306 (81802)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe3cf8852...bffe4d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793261100