Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$75.14

Combined PnL

$7.79

Down

3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down3 traders

Total Value$45.48

Total Shares45

Combined PnL+$19.18

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares20

Combined PnL-$11.4

Down — 60%Up — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AN antsaslykuARB<$100	Upavg 43.1¢	$74.9	$29.66	-$45.24	66% 111803-58146 (169949)
└ Up leg	Upavg 43.1¢	$59.59	—	-$59.59
└ Down leg	Downavg 51.6¢	$15.32	$29.66	+$14.34
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 75.6¢	$23.7	$31.34	+$7.64	55% 44407-36899 (81306)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 57¢	$8.03	—	-$8.03	65% 22283-12231 (34514)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 44¢	$3.37	—	-$3.37	61% 94291-59323 (153614)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 18¢	$1.4	$7.78	+$6.38	66% 125021-64333 (189354)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 18.9¢	$1.2	$6.36	+$5.16	52% 89734-84193 (173927)