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DownDownUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 60%
Total Value
$39.21
Combined PnL
-$116.38
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares195
Combined PnL-$122.84
Up3 traders
Total Value$39.21
Total Shares39
Combined PnL+$6.46
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 41.6¢ | $86.33 | — | -$86.33 | 66% 111803-58146 (169949) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.9¢ | $31.07 | — | -$31.07 | 65% 22283-12231 (34514) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $15.32 | $19.63 | +$4.31 | 66% 125021-64333 (189354) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 28.6¢ | $5.44 | — | -$5.44 | 63% 51496-30306 (81802) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $16.56 | $18.61 | +$2.05 | 61% 94291-59323 (153614) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $0.86 | $0.97 | +$0.11 | 52% 89734-84193 (173927) |
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$86.33
Value
—
PnL
-$86.33
Record
66%
111803-58146 (169949)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$31.07
Value
—
PnL
-$31.07
Record
65%
22283-12231 (34514)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$15.32
Value
$19.63
PnL
+$4.31
Record
66%
125021-64333 (189354)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$5.44
Value
—
PnL
-$5.44
Record
63%
51496-30306 (81802)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$16.56
Value
$18.61
PnL
+$2.05
Record
61%
94291-59323 (153614)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$0.86
Value
$0.97
PnL
+$0.11
Record
52%
89734-84193 (173927)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x73531352...ea5fa1
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793259300