Back to Markets
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDownDownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$9.2
Combined PnL
-$18.48
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares87
Combined PnL-$20.03
Up2 traders
Total Value$9.2
Total Shares9
Combined PnL+$1.55
Down — 67%Up — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 39.6¢ | $12.41 | — | -$12.41 | 55% 44344-36830 (81174) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 14.7¢ | $5.04 | — | -$5.04 | 63% 51442-30275 (81717) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 61% 94214-59259 (153473) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 52% 89668-84106 (173774) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $7.04 | $8 | +$0.96 | 66% 124908-64287 (189195) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $0.61 | $1.2 | +$0.59 | 66% 111755-58093 (169848) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$12.41
Value
—
PnL
-$12.41
Record
55%
44344-36830 (81174)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$5.04
Value
—
PnL
-$5.04
Record
63%
51442-30275 (81717)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
61%
94214-59259 (153473)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
52%
89668-84106 (173774)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$7.04
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.96
Record
66%
124908-64287 (189195)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$0.61
Value
$1.2
PnL
+$0.59
Record
66%
111755-58093 (169848)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x525c1988...196b3f
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793252100