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DownDownUpDown
MayorMamdani<$100UpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$77.12
Combined PnL
$1.9
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares280
Combined PnL-$12.68
Up3 traders
Total Value$77.12
Total Shares77
Combined PnL+$14.58
Down — 57%Up — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.52 | — | -$1.52 | 52% 89634-84083 (173717) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.5¢ | $3.46 | — | -$3.46 | 61% 94187-59243 (153430) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 41.4¢ | $30.36 | $37.12 | +$6.76 | 66% 111736-58065 (169801) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.2¢ | $0.91 | — | -$0.91 | 66% 124869-64274 (189143) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $3.78 | $10 | +$6.22 | 55% 44309-36802 (81111) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 94.7¢ | $28.4 | $30 | +$1.6 | 65% 124499-66595 (191094) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $6.79 | — | -$6.79 | 57% 70079-53264 (123343) |
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.52
Value
—
PnL
-$1.52
Record
52%
89634-84083 (173717)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$3.46
Value
—
PnL
-$3.46
Record
61%
94187-59243 (153430)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$30.36
Value
$37.12
PnL
+$6.76
Record
66%
111736-58065 (169801)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$0.91
Value
—
PnL
-$0.91
Record
66%
124869-64274 (189143)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$3.78
Value
$10
PnL
+$6.22
Record
55%
44309-36802 (81111)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$28.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$1.6
Record
65%
124499-66595 (191094)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$6.79
Value
—
PnL
-$6.79
Record
57%
70079-53264 (123343)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0160f127...3b5eb5
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793247600