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MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDownUpUpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$25.07
Combined PnL
-$0.71
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares38
Combined PnL-$2.53
Up3 traders
Total Value$25.07
Total Shares25
Combined PnL+$1.82
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.66 | — | -$0.66 | 55% 44309-36802 (81111) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.32 | — | -$0.32 | 59% 62048-43126 (105174) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $9.9 | $10 | +$0.1 | 52% 89634-84083 (173717) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $8.37 | $9 | +$0.63 | 61% 94187-59243 (153430) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $4.98 | $6.07 | +$1.09 | 66% 124869-64274 (189143) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $1.55 | — | -$1.55 | 65% 124499-66595 (191094) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.66
Value
—
PnL
-$0.66
Record
55%
44309-36802 (81111)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.32
Value
—
PnL
-$0.32
Record
59%
62048-43126 (105174)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$9.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.1
Record
52%
89634-84083 (173717)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$8.37
Value
$9
PnL
+$0.63
Record
61%
94187-59243 (153430)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$4.98
Value
$6.07
PnL
+$1.09
Record
66%
124869-64274 (189143)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$1.55
Value
—
PnL
-$1.55
Record
65%
124499-66595 (191094)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x307c2c46...8ba93d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793247300