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MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDownDown
BoneOhio<$100UpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 60%
Total Value
$19.36
Combined PnL
-$2.04
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares54
Combined PnL-$3.76
Up3 traders
Total Value$19.36
Total Shares19
Combined PnL+$1.72
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $1.45 | — | -$1.45 | 55% 44309-36802 (81111) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 61% 94187-59243 (153430) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.8¢ | $1.19 | — | -$1.19 | 52% 89634-84083 (173717) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $10.26 | $10.36 | +$0.1 | 74% 102231-36345 (138576) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $8.91 | $9 | +$0.09 | 66% 124869-64274 (189143) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 91.5¢ | $18.68 | $0 | +$1.53 | 65% 22059-12128 (34187) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.45
Value
—
PnL
-$1.45
Record
55%
44309-36802 (81111)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
61%
94187-59243 (153430)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.19
Value
—
PnL
-$1.19
Record
52%
89634-84083 (173717)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$10.26
Value
$10.36
PnL
+$0.1
Record
74%
102231-36345 (138576)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$8.91
Value
$9
PnL
+$0.09
Record
66%
124869-64274 (189143)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$18.68
Value
$0
PnL
+$1.53
Record
65%
22059-12128 (34187)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf0ca92fa...cb34c6
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793246100