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UpDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Down 71%
Total Value
$45.18
Combined PnL
-$14.37
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares36
Combined PnL-$25.1
Down5 traders
Total Value$45.18
Total Shares45
Combined PnL+$10.73
Up — 29%Down — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.5¢ | $19.7 | — | -$19.7 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $14.36 | $14.8 | +$0.44 | 65% 21975-12079 (34054) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 66.1¢ | $9.65 | $14.6 | +$4.95 | 65% 124444-66560 (191004) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $5.4 | — | -$5.4 | 55% 44266-36741 (81007) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 63% 51357-30230 (81587) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $2.75 | $5.39 | +$2.64 | 52% 89581-84030 (173611) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $2.75 | $5.39 | +$2.64 | 61% 94136-59204 (153340) |
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$19.7
Value
—
PnL
-$19.7
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$14.36
Value
$14.8
PnL
+$0.44
Record
65%
21975-12079 (34054)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$9.65
Value
$14.6
PnL
+$4.95
Record
65%
124444-66560 (191004)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
—
PnL
-$5.4
Record
55%
44266-36741 (81007)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
63%
51357-30230 (81587)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$2.75
Value
$5.39
PnL
+$2.64
Record
52%
89581-84030 (173611)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$2.75
Value
$5.39
PnL
+$2.64
Record
61%
94136-59204 (153340)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x628fe246...4d93e6
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793235000