Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 63%
$115.63
$11.17
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 88.3¢ | $46.01 | $52.12 | +$6.11 | 55% 44266-36741 (81007) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 54.5¢ | $33.33 | $48.51 | +$15.18 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 73.7¢ | $11.05 | $15 | +$3.95 | 65% 124444-66560 (191004) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 45.7¢ | $6.93 | — | -$6.93 | 65% 21975-12079 (34054) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 52% 89581-84030 (173611) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $2.34 | — | -$2.34 | 61% 94136-59204 (153340) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 66% 124813-64240 (189053) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 63% 51357-30230 (81587) |
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$46.01
Value
$52.12
PnL
+$6.11
Record
55%
44266-36741 (81007)
Invested
$33.33
Value
$48.51
PnL
+$15.18
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
Invested
$11.05
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.95
Record
65%
124444-66560 (191004)
Invested
$6.93
Value
—
PnL
-$6.93
Record
65%
21975-12079 (34054)
Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
52%
89581-84030 (173611)
Invested
$2.34
Value
—
PnL
-$2.34
Record
61%
94136-59204 (153340)
Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
66%
124813-64240 (189053)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
63%
51357-30230 (81587)
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