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UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpDownUpDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 71%
Total Value
$53.5
Combined PnL
-$0.35
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$53.5
Total Shares54
Combined PnL+$19.17
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares66
Combined PnL-$19.52
Up — 29%Down — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 43.5¢ | $16.23 | $33.5 | +$17.27 | 63% 51338-30220 (81558) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.7¢ | $14.03 | — | -$14.03 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 92.7¢ | $27.8 | $20 | +$1.9 | 65% 124408-66548 (190956) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.2¢ | $3.25 | — | -$3.25 | 61% 94094-59183 (153277) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.2¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 52% 89542-84009 (173551) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.03 | — | -$0.03 | 55% 44239-36719 (80958) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $1.11 | — | -$1.11 | 66% 124759-64225 (188984) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$16.23
Value
$33.5
PnL
+$17.27
Record
63%
51338-30220 (81558)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$14.03
Value
—
PnL
-$14.03
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$27.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.9
Record
65%
124408-66548 (190956)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$3.25
Value
—
PnL
-$3.25
Record
61%
94094-59183 (153277)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
52%
89542-84009 (173551)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.03
Value
—
PnL
-$0.03
Record
55%
44239-36719 (80958)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.11
Value
—
PnL
-$1.11
Record
66%
124759-64225 (188984)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2ffcff31...aa8333
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793233500