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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Down 50%

Total Value

$45.49

Combined PnL

-$128.83

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares172
Combined PnL-$150.02
Up5 traders
Total Value$45.49
Total Shares45
Combined PnL+$21.18
Down — 50%Up — 50%
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.24

Value

—

PnL

-$10.24

Record

55%

44239-36719 (80958)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$52.01

Value

—

PnL

-$52.01

Record

65%

21925-12064 (33989)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$39.58

Value

—

PnL

-$39.54

Record

65%

124408-66548 (190956)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$39.13

Value

—

PnL

-$39.13

Record

66%

111604-57865 (169469)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Up

Invested

$19.65

Value

$23.03

PnL

+$3.39

Record

63%

51338-30220 (81558)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$1.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$8.2

Record

52%

89542-84009 (173551)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$0.4

Value

$5

PnL

+$4.6

Record

58%

60182-43943 (104125)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$1.65

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.35

Record

61%

94094-59183 (153277)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$0.81

Value

$2.46

PnL

+$1.65

Record

66%

124759-64225 (188984)

BO
bosonaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.09

Value

—

PnL

-$9.09

Record

55%

49291-39546 (88837)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x9b561014...9df624
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793233200

Traders in this Market

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$10.24
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$52.01
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Down — $0

-$39.54
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Down — $0

-$39.13

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $23.03

+$3.39
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $10

+$8.2
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $5

+$4.6
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $5

+$3.35
AS

asdaefef

Up — $2.46

+$1.65
BO

bosona

CTR

Down — $0

-$9.09
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