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UpDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 86%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
-$24.9
Smart Money Signal
Up
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares134
Combined PnL-$25.12
Down1 trader
Total Value$5
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$0.21
Up — 86%Down — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $9.37 | — | -$9.37 | 65% 21925-12064 (33989) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $4.79 | $5 | +$0.21 | 66% 124759-64225 (188984) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $8.88 | — | -$8.88 | 55% 44239-36719 (80958) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $0.33 | — | -$0.33 | 65% 124408-66548 (190956) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.3¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 63% 51338-30220 (81558) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 52% 89542-84009 (173551) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 61% 94094-59183 (153277) |
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$9.37
Value
—
PnL
-$9.37
Record
65%
21925-12064 (33989)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$4.79
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.21
Record
66%
124759-64225 (188984)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$8.88
Value
—
PnL
-$8.88
Record
55%
44239-36719 (80958)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$0.33
Value
—
PnL
-$0.33
Record
65%
124408-66548 (190956)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
63%
51338-30220 (81558)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
52%
89542-84009 (173551)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
61%
94094-59183 (153277)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe24aa16f...6ef35b
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793232300