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DownUpDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$14.94
Combined PnL
-$32.51
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares88
Combined PnL-$36.98
Up1 trader
Total Value$14.94
Total Shares15
Combined PnL+$4.47
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.4¢ | $25.72 | — | -$25.72 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70.1¢ | $10.47 | $14.94 | +$4.47 | 65% 21925-12064 (33989) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $8.75 | — | -$8.75 | 65% 124408-66548 (190956) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $2.05 | — | -$2.05 | 61% 94094-59183 (153277) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.1¢ | $0.46 | — | -$0.46 | 55% 44239-36719 (80958) |
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$25.72
Value
—
PnL
-$25.72
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$10.47
Value
$14.94
PnL
+$4.47
Record
65%
21925-12064 (33989)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$8.75
Value
—
PnL
-$8.75
Record
65%
124408-66548 (190956)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$2.05
Value
—
PnL
-$2.05
Record
61%
94094-59183 (153277)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.46
Value
—
PnL
-$0.46
Record
55%
44239-36719 (80958)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2e646218...a21acd
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793231700