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MayorMamdani<$100DownUpUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$38
Combined PnL
-$0.77
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$38
Total Shares38
Combined PnL+$1.34
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares88
Combined PnL-$2.11
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $30.72 | $32 | +$1.28 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $2.82 | — | -$2.82 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.31 | — | -$0.31 | 59% 62012-43078 (105090) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.7¢ | $1.57 | — | +$1.02 | 48% 23092-25227 (48319) |
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$30.72
Value
$32
PnL
+$1.28
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$2.82
Value
—
PnL
-$2.82
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.31
Value
—
PnL
-$0.31
Record
59%
62012-43078 (105090)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$1.57
Value
—
PnL
+$1.02
Record
48%
23092-25227 (48319)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x585c92c4...c99ba7
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793228400