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UpUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownUpDownDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$87.57
Combined PnL
$13.83
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$87.57
Total Shares88
Combined PnL+$37.94
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares49
Combined PnL-$24.11
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $28.23 | $50.43 | +$22.2 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 79.6¢ | $12.74 | $16 | +$3.26 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.7¢ | $10.59 | — | -$10.59 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $8.67 | $21.14 | +$12.47 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $5.12 | — | -$5.12 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.9¢ | $4.4 | — | -$4.4 | 63% 51325-30204 (81529) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$28.23
Value
$50.43
PnL
+$22.2
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$12.74
Value
$16
PnL
+$3.26
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$10.59
Value
—
PnL
-$10.59
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$8.67
Value
$21.14
PnL
+$12.47
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$5.12
Value
—
PnL
-$5.12
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.4
Value
—
PnL
-$4.4
Record
63%
51325-30204 (81529)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x465114c4...999b17
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793227200