Back to Markets
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownUpDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 83%
Total Value
$48.93
Combined PnL
-$87.4
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares211
Combined PnL-$99.09
Up1 trader
Total Value$48.93
Total Shares49
Combined PnL+$11.69
Down — 83%Up — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 42.9¢ | $75.1 | — | -$75.1 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 59.8¢ | $37.24 | $48.93 | +$11.69 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $9.2 | — | -$9.2 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 63% 51325-30204 (81529) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $8.1 | — | -$8.1 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 83.7¢ | $5.29 | — | -$5.29 | 61% 94062-59155 (153217) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$75.1
Value
—
PnL
-$75.1
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$37.24
Value
$48.93
PnL
+$11.69
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$9.2
Value
—
PnL
-$9.2
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
63%
51325-30204 (81529)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$8.1
Value
—
PnL
-$8.1
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$5.29
Value
—
PnL
-$5.29
Record
61%
94062-59155 (153217)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x877fc036...f45dc0
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793225100