Back to Markets
UpUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$27.06
Combined PnL
-$12.85
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares228
Combined PnL-$21.43
Down3 traders
Total Value$27.06
Total Shares27
Combined PnL+$8.58
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.9¢ | $7.66 | — | -$7.66 | 59% 62012-43078 (105090) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $13 | — | -$13 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $0.77 | — | -$0.77 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $10.56 | $11 | +$0.44 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $2.1 | $10 | +$7.9 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $5.82 | $6.06 | +$0.24 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$7.66
Value
—
PnL
-$7.66
Record
59%
62012-43078 (105090)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$13
Value
—
PnL
-$13
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.77
Value
—
PnL
-$0.77
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$10.56
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.44
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$7.9
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$5.82
Value
$6.06
PnL
+$0.24
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x8581197b...becfe8
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793224500