Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 63%
$78.55
-$16.59
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 7.6¢ | $4.26 | — | -$4.26 | 48% 23092-25227 (48319) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 84.8¢ | $36.68 | $43.24 | +$6.56 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 23.7¢ | $10.06 | — | -$10.06 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $29.7 | $30.31 | +$0.61 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $8.79 | $5 | -$3.79 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.2¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 63% 51325-30204 (81529) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $2.31 | — | -$2.31 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $2.24 | — | -$2.24 | 61% 94062-59155 (153217) |
Invested
$4.26
Value
—
PnL
-$4.26
Record
48%
23092-25227 (48319)
Invested
$36.68
Value
$43.24
PnL
+$6.56
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$10.06
Value
—
PnL
-$10.06
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
Invested
$29.7
Value
$30.31
PnL
+$0.61
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
Invested
$8.79
Value
$5
PnL
-$3.79
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
63%
51325-30204 (81529)
Invested
$2.31
Value
—
PnL
-$2.31
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
Invested
$2.24
Value
—
PnL
-$2.24
Record
61%
94062-59155 (153217)
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