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Down
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDownDownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$11.2
Combined PnL
-$43.09
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares253
Combined PnL-$50.61
Up2 traders
Total Value$11.2
Total Shares11
Combined PnL+$7.52
Down — 67%Up — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 13.4¢ | $18.62 | — | -$18.62 | 61% 93995-59086 (153081) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.7¢ | $7.99 | — | -$7.99 | 63% 51258-30160 (81418) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 13.5¢ | $5.94 | — | -$5.94 | 52% 89438-83891 (173329) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 93.1¢ | $18.06 | — | -$18.06 | 66% 124638-64161 (188799) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $0.95 | $5.95 | +$5 | 65% 21769-11955 (33724) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $2.73 | $5.25 | +$2.52 | 48% 23074-25189 (48263) |
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$18.62
Value
—
PnL
-$18.62
Record
61%
93995-59086 (153081)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$7.99
Value
—
PnL
-$7.99
Record
63%
51258-30160 (81418)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$5.94
Value
—
PnL
-$5.94
Record
52%
89438-83891 (173329)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$18.06
Value
—
PnL
-$18.06
Record
66%
124638-64161 (188799)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$0.95
Value
$5.95
PnL
+$5
Record
65%
21769-11955 (33724)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100Invested
$2.73
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$2.52
Record
48%
23074-25189 (48263)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2dacba6f...d6c716
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793216100