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Down
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpDown
MayorMamdani<$100DownUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$66.98
Combined PnL
$7.87
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$66.98
Total Shares67
Combined PnL+$16.1
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares49
Combined PnL-$8.23
Down — 43%Up — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 65% 124308-66488 (190796) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.7¢ | $4.82 | — | -$4.82 | 63% 51258-30160 (81418) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $9.71 | $23.68 | +$13.97 | 56% 57606-44494 (102100) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 86.2¢ | $11.47 | $13.3 | +$1.83 | 55% 44146-36636 (80782) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.19 | — | -$1.19 | 61% 93995-59086 (153081) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 52% 89438-83891 (173329) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 66% 124638-64161 (188799) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
65%
124308-66488 (190796)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.82
Value
—
PnL
-$4.82
Record
63%
51258-30160 (81418)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$9.71
Value
$23.68
PnL
+$13.97
Record
56%
57606-44494 (102100)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$11.47
Value
$13.3
PnL
+$1.83
Record
55%
44146-36636 (80782)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.19
Value
—
PnL
-$1.19
Record
61%
93995-59086 (153081)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
52%
89438-83891 (173329)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
66%
124638-64161 (188799)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe6e9c0f8...88403f
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793214300