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UpDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$42.66
Combined PnL
$0.76
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$42.66
Total Shares43
Combined PnL+$19.63
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares59
Combined PnL-$18.87
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 41.4¢ | $13.53 | $32.66 | +$19.13 | 57% 69920-53118 (123038) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 29.3¢ | $7.05 | — | -$7.05 | 52% 89438-83891 (173329) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.4¢ | $1.82 | — | -$1.82 | 63% 51258-30160 (81418) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $8.2 | — | -$8.2 | 65% 124308-66488 (190796) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $9.5 | $10 | +$0.5 | 66% 124638-64161 (188799) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 61% 93995-59086 (153081) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$13.53
Value
$32.66
PnL
+$19.13
Record
57%
69920-53118 (123038)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$7.05
Value
—
PnL
-$7.05
Record
52%
89438-83891 (173329)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.82
Value
—
PnL
-$1.82
Record
63%
51258-30160 (81418)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$8.2
Value
—
PnL
-$8.2
Record
65%
124308-66488 (190796)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$9.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.5
Record
66%
124638-64161 (188799)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
61%
93995-59086 (153081)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcde535f0...2fe6ef
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793211300