Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Up 60%
2 arb excluded
$717.31
$91.62
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 74.6Β’ | $266 | $356.62 | +$90.62 | 48% 23069-25170 (48239) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 79.5Β’ | $152.07 | $191.24 | +$39.17 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025ARB<$100 | Upavg 73Β’ | $67.16 | $51.47 | -$15.68 | 58% 60123-43891 (104014) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 29.1Β’ | $29.57 | β | -$29.57 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 73Β’ | $37.59 | $51.47 | +$13.88 | |
![]() ohioismARB<$100 | Upavg 81Β’ | $55.44 | $50 | -$5.44 | 64% 39724-22691 (62415) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 18.3Β’ | $14.94 | β | -$14.94 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 81Β’ | $40.5 | $50 | +$9.5 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $29.4 | $30 | +$0.6 | 65% 124286-66473 (190759) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 19Β’ | $16.46 | β | -$16.46 | 56% 57594-44483 (102077) |
![]() BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 17Β’ | $8.53 | β | -$8.53 | 74% 102141-36314 (138455) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 87.1Β’ | $31.16 | $26.63 | -$4.52 | 52% 89418-83862 (173280) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 18Β’ | $4.56 | β | -$4.56 | 62% 43587-26530 (70117) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 89Β’ | $12.5 | $10.11 | -$2.39 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 28Β’ | $2.31 | β | -$2.31 | 66% 124478-64082 (188560) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $1.23 | $1.23 | +$0 | 59% 61979-43024 (105003) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 2Β’ | $0 | β | -$0.01 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
Invested
$266
Value
$356.62
PnL
+$90.62
Record
48%
23069-25170 (48239)
Invested
$152.07
Value
$191.24
PnL
+$39.17
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
Invested
$67.16
Value
$51.47
PnL
-$15.68
Record
58%
60123-43891 (104014)
Both legs:
ohioismARB<$100Invested
$55.44
Value
$50
PnL
-$5.44
Record
64%
39724-22691 (62415)
Both legs:
Invested
$29.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.6
Record
65%
124286-66473 (190759)
Invested
$16.46
Value
β
PnL
-$16.46
Record
56%
57594-44483 (102077)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$8.53
Value
β
PnL
-$8.53
Record
74%
102141-36314 (138455)
Invested
$31.16
Value
$26.63
PnL
-$4.52
Record
52%
89418-83862 (173280)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4.56
Value
β
PnL
-$4.56
Record
62%
43587-26530 (70117)
Invested
$12.5
Value
$10.11
PnL
-$2.39
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
Invested
$2.31
Value
β
PnL
-$2.31
Record
66%
124478-64082 (188560)
Invested
$1.23
Value
$1.23
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
61979-43024 (105003)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0
Value
β
PnL
-$0.01
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up β $356.62
uninformedfloww
Up β $191.24
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
ARBArbitrage β excluded

ohioism
ARBArbitrage β excluded
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $30
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown β $0

BoneOhio
CTRDown β $0
dvasdkasodk
Up β $26.63

G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown β $0
asidjasiodja
Up β $10.11