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MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUpDownDown
UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$27.5
Combined PnL
$1.27
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares44
Combined PnL-$2.98
Down3 traders
Total Value$27.5
Total Shares28
Combined PnL+$4.25
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.2¢ | $1.94 | — | -$1.94 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.61 | — | -$0.61 | 59% 61979-43024 (105003) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $11.5 | $12.5 | +$1 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $6.8 | $10 | +$3.2 | 65% 124286-66473 (190759) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 63% 51234-30144 (81378) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $0.43 | — | -$0.43 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.94
Value
—
PnL
-$1.94
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.61
Value
—
PnL
-$0.61
Record
59%
61979-43024 (105003)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$11.5
Value
$12.5
PnL
+$1
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$6.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.2
Record
65%
124286-66473 (190759)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
63%
51234-30144 (81378)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$0.43
Value
—
PnL
-$0.43
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd104a584...390cfb
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793207100