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MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUpDownUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 83%
Total Value
$12.5
Combined PnL
-$5.09
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares68
Combined PnL-$6.09
Down1 trader
Total Value$12.5
Total Shares13
Combined PnL+$1
Up — 83%Down — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $1.21 | — | -$1.21 | 59% 61979-43024 (105003) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $11.5 | $12.5 | +$1 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $0.46 | — | -$0.46 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.3¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 52% 89418-83862 (173280) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$1.21
Value
—
PnL
-$1.21
Record
59%
61979-43024 (105003)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$11.5
Value
$12.5
PnL
+$1
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$0.46
Value
—
PnL
-$0.46
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
52%
89418-83862 (173280)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb3ea1625...f04e50
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793206800