Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 63%
$120.65
-$3.27
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 13.8¢ | $9.08 | — | -$9.08 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 76.3¢ | $44.36 | $49.16 | +$4.8 | 57% 69844-53054 (122898) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 78.7¢ | $47.21 | $60 | +$12.79 | 65% 21685-11906 (33591) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $6.6 | — | -$6.6 | 65% 124252-66451 (190703) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $2.31 | — | -$2.31 | 52% 89386-83832 (173218) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 13.2¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 61% 93938-59036 (152974) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $2.16 | — | -$2.16 | 66% 124477-64080 (188557) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $10 | $11.49 | +$1.49 | 63% 51208-30132 (81340) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$9.08
Value
—
PnL
-$9.08
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
Invested
$44.36
Value
$49.16
PnL
+$4.8
Record
57%
69844-53054 (122898)
Invested
$47.21
Value
$60
PnL
+$12.79
Record
65%
21685-11906 (33591)
Invested
$6.6
Value
—
PnL
-$6.6
Record
65%
124252-66451 (190703)
Invested
$2.31
Value
—
PnL
-$2.31
Record
52%
89386-83832 (173218)
Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
61%
93938-59036 (152974)
Invested
$2.16
Value
—
PnL
-$2.16
Record
66%
124477-64080 (188557)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$10
Value
$11.49
PnL
+$1.49
Record
63%
51208-30132 (81340)
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