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DownUpDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$26.13
Combined PnL
-$35.64
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$26.13
Total Shares26
Combined PnL-$0.33
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares70
Combined PnL-$35.31
Down — 33%Up — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $20.37 | $21 | +$0.63 | 65% 124252-66451 (190703) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $21.43 | — | -$21.43 | 65% 21685-11906 (33591) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $6.08 | $5.13 | -$0.96 | 57% 69844-53054 (122898) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.5¢ | $11.98 | — | -$11.98 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $1.52 | — | -$1.52 | 61% 93938-59036 (152974) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $0.38 | — | -$0.38 | 52% 89386-83832 (173218) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$20.37
Value
$21
PnL
+$0.63
Record
65%
124252-66451 (190703)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$21.43
Value
—
PnL
-$21.43
Record
65%
21685-11906 (33591)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$6.08
Value
$5.13
PnL
-$0.96
Record
57%
69844-53054 (122898)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$11.98
Value
—
PnL
-$11.98
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.52
Value
—
PnL
-$1.52
Record
61%
93938-59036 (152974)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$0.38
Value
—
PnL
-$0.38
Record
52%
89386-83832 (173218)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x17ff6435...ce2cf2
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793203500