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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Down 60%

Total Value

$110.18

Combined PnL

$2.11

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$110.18
Total Shares110
Combined PnL+$11.62
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares81
Combined PnL-$9.51
Up — 40%Down — 60%
ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$37.64

Value

$50.18

PnL

+$12.55

Record

64%

39724-22691 (62415)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$29.4

Value

$30

PnL

+$0.6

Record

65%

124286-66473 (190759)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Up

Invested

$24.99

Value

$25

PnL

+$0.01

Record

57%

69881-53093 (122974)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$6.54

Value

$5

PnL

-$1.54

Record

52%

89418-83862 (173280)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.54

Value

—

PnL

-$0.54

Record

59%

61979-43024 (105003)

0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.94

Value

—

PnL

-$2.94

Record

48%

23069-25170 (48239)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1

Value

—

PnL

-$1

Record

63%

51234-30144 (81378)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.62

Value

—

PnL

-$1.62

Record

61%

93968-59068 (153036)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.71

Value

—

PnL

-$1.71

Record

55%

44030-36522 (80552)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.7

Value

—

PnL

-$1.7

Record

66%

124478-64082 (188560)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x3ce4fe17...d3f6d4
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793203200

Traders in this Market

ohioism

Up — $50.18

+$12.55
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $30

+$0.6
UN

uninformedfloww

Up — $25

+$0.01
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $5

-$1.54
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.54
0X

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.94

UpandDownSyndrome

CTR

Down — $0

-$1
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.62

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.71
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.7
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