Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 63%
$98.63
$0.62
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 15.2¢ | $10.19 | $43.83 | +$33.64 | 63% 51186-30116 (81302) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $29.4 | $30 | +$4.4 | 65% 124216-66433 (190649) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $14.2 | — | -$14.2 | 56% 57568-44448 (102016) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 70.2¢ | $17.09 | — | -$17.09 | 57% 69807-53034 (122841) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 24.1¢ | $8.48 | $24.8 | +$16.32 | 52% 89352-83806 (173158) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 61% 93901-59012 (152913) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $14.37 | — | -$14.37 | 65% 21630-11888 (33518) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $4.07 | — | -$4.07 | 66% 111557-57803 (169360) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$10.19
Value
$43.83
PnL
+$33.64
Record
63%
51186-30116 (81302)
Invested
$29.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$4.4
Record
65%
124216-66433 (190649)
Invested
$14.2
Value
—
PnL
-$14.2
Record
56%
57568-44448 (102016)
Invested
$17.09
Value
—
PnL
-$17.09
Record
57%
69807-53034 (122841)
Invested
$8.48
Value
$24.8
PnL
+$16.32
Record
52%
89352-83806 (173158)
Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
61%
93901-59012 (152913)
Invested
$14.37
Value
—
PnL
-$14.37
Record
65%
21630-11888 (33518)
Invested
$4.07
Value
—
PnL
-$4.07
Record
66%
111557-57803 (169360)
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