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DownDownUpDownUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$85.71
Combined PnL
$18.89
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$85.71
Total Shares86
Combined PnL+$19
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares6
Combined PnL-$0.11
Down β 60%Up β 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 96.5Β’ | $48.25 | $50 | +$1.75 | 57% 69807-53034 (122841) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 44Β’ | $13.51 | $30.71 | +$17.2 | 56% 57568-44448 (102016) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | $0.1 | β | -$0.1 | 48% 23056-25131 (48187) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 65% 124216-66433 (190649) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.01 | β | -$0.01 | 66% 111557-57803 (169360) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$48.25
Value
$50
PnL
+$1.75
Record
57%
69807-53034 (122841)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$13.51
Value
$30.71
PnL
+$17.2
Record
56%
57568-44448 (102016)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
β
PnL
-$0.1
Record
48%
23056-25131 (48187)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
65%
124216-66433 (190649)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
β
PnL
-$0.01
Record
66%
111557-57803 (169360)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfe0f9afc...8cf6b7
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793195100