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UpUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$98.31
Combined PnL
-$9.29
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$98.31
Total Shares98
Combined PnL+$9.6
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares53
Combined PnL-$18.89
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $68.85 | $55 | -$11.17 | 65% 124010-66298 (190308) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 40.6¢ | $22.54 | $43.31 | +$20.76 | 57% 69767-53019 (122786) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 13.7¢ | $3.58 | — | -$3.58 | 63% 51166-30114 (81280) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $9.83 | — | -$9.83 | 66% 111532-57780 (169312) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $4.75 | — | -$4.75 | 65% 21587-11860 (33447) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $0.73 | — | -$0.73 | 61% 93853-58992 (152845) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$68.85
Value
$55
PnL
-$11.17
Record
65%
124010-66298 (190308)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$22.54
Value
$43.31
PnL
+$20.76
Record
57%
69767-53019 (122786)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.58
Value
—
PnL
-$3.58
Record
63%
51166-30114 (81280)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$9.83
Value
—
PnL
-$9.83
Record
66%
111532-57780 (169312)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$4.75
Value
—
PnL
-$4.75
Record
65%
21587-11860 (33447)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$0.73
Value
—
PnL
-$0.73
Record
61%
93853-58992 (152845)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1d27babe...a93ff4
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793193300