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UpDownDownUpDown Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$34.21
Combined PnL
-$2.81
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares34
Combined PnL-$8.74
Down3 traders
Total Value$34.21
Total Shares34
Combined PnL+$5.94
Up β 40%Down β 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.6Β’ | $8.66 | β | -$8.66 | 66% 111532-57780 (169312) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 68.4Β’ | $19.43 | $25 | +$5.57 | 65% 21587-11860 (33447) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $6.98 | $6 | -$0.98 | 61% 93853-58992 (152845) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | $0.08 | β | -$0.08 | 59% 61960-42991 (104951) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 58Β’ | $1.86 | $3.21 | +$1.35 | 57% 69767-53019 (122786) |
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$8.66
Value
β
PnL
-$8.66
Record
66%
111532-57780 (169312)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$19.43
Value
$25
PnL
+$5.57
Record
65%
21587-11860 (33447)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$6.98
Value
$6
PnL
-$0.98
Record
61%
93853-58992 (152845)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.08
Value
β
PnL
-$0.08
Record
59%
61960-42991 (104951)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$1.86
Value
$3.21
PnL
+$1.35
Record
57%
69767-53019 (122786)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2c0456bb...db076d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793192700