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UpUpDownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$19
Combined PnL
-$7.19
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares69
Combined PnL-$9.37
Down2 traders
Total Value$19
Total Shares19
Combined PnL+$2.18
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YO YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.6¢ | $8.27 | — | -$8.27 | 53% 3679-3199 (6878) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 5.3¢ | $1.06 | — | -$1.06 | 48% 23042-25099 (48141) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $9.96 | $12 | +$2.04 | 65% 124007-66294 (190301) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $6.86 | $7 | +$0.14 | 61% 93803-58969 (152772) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.04 | — | -$0.04 | 59% 61952-42970 (104922) |
YO
YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100Invested
$8.27
Value
—
PnL
-$8.27
Record
53%
3679-3199 (6878)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$1.06
Value
—
PnL
-$1.06
Record
48%
23042-25099 (48141)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$9.96
Value
$12
PnL
+$2.04
Record
65%
124007-66294 (190301)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$6.86
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.14
Record
61%
93803-58969 (152772)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.04
Value
—
PnL
-$0.04
Record
59%
61952-42970 (104922)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4a1389fb...3d9336
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793188500