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Up
ohioismCTR<$100DownUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$74.25
Combined PnL
$3.89
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$74.25
Total Shares74
Combined PnL+$24.11
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares67
Combined PnL-$20.22
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 68.7¢ | $35.14 | $51.14 | +$16 | 65% 21538-11836 (33374) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $12.26 | — | -$12.26 | 64% 39693-22664 (62357) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 64.9¢ | $15 | $23.11 | +$8.11 | 66% 111508-57758 (169266) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.4¢ | $4.73 | — | -$4.73 | 63% 51142-30102 (81244) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.8¢ | $3.23 | — | -$3.23 | 52% 89283-83737 (173020) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$35.14
Value
$51.14
PnL
+$16
Record
65%
21538-11836 (33374)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$12.26
Value
—
PnL
-$12.26
Record
64%
39693-22664 (62357)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$15
Value
$23.11
PnL
+$8.11
Record
66%
111508-57758 (169266)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.73
Value
—
PnL
-$4.73
Record
63%
51142-30102 (81244)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$3.23
Value
—
PnL
-$3.23
Record
52%
89283-83737 (173020)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4fd34865...c1b25a
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793187900