Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Down 67%
1 arb excluded
$157.16
$5.14
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslykuARB<$100 | Upavg 15.3¢ | $38.1 | $44 | +$5.9 | 66% 111508-57758 (169266) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 15.3¢ | $23.42 | — | -$23.42 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 33.4¢ | $14.68 | $44 | +$29.32 | |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $55.08 | $57.37 | +$2.29 | 63% 51142-30102 (81244) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $14.2 | $14.34 | +$0.14 | 74% 102112-36306 (138418) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 74.3¢ | $18.4 | $24.78 | +$6.38 | 65% 21538-11836 (33374) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $15.67 | $16.67 | +$1 | 65% 124007-66294 (190301) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $3.12 | — | -$3.12 | 61% 93803-58969 (152772) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $1.56 | — | -$1.56 | 52% 89283-83737 (173020) |
Invested
$38.1
Value
$44
PnL
+$5.9
Record
66%
111508-57758 (169266)
Both legs:
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$55.08
Value
$57.37
PnL
+$2.29
Record
63%
51142-30102 (81244)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$14.2
Value
$14.34
PnL
+$0.14
Record
74%
102112-36306 (138418)
Invested
$18.4
Value
$24.78
PnL
+$6.38
Record
65%
21538-11836 (33374)
Invested
$15.67
Value
$16.67
PnL
+$1
Record
65%
124007-66294 (190301)
Invested
$3.12
Value
—
PnL
-$3.12
Record
61%
93803-58969 (152772)
Invested
$1.56
Value
—
PnL
-$1.56
Record
52%
89283-83737 (173020)
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