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UpDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpDownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$120.07
Combined PnL
-$37.4
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares213
Combined PnL-$37.19
Down3 traders
Total Value$120.07
Total Shares120
Combined PnL-$0.21
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.5¢ | $33.74 | — | -$33.74 | 66% 111485-57735 (169220) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 75.8¢ | $106.72 | $103.7 | -$3.03 | 57% 69652-52957 (122609) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.9 | — | -$0.9 | 62% 43563-26490 (70053) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $7.97 | $9.37 | +$2.33 | 65% 21488-11804 (33292) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 52% 89240-83721 (172961) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $6.51 | $7 | +$0.49 | 61% 93762-58955 (152717) |
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$33.74
Value
—
PnL
-$33.74
Record
66%
111485-57735 (169220)
UN
uninformedflowwInvested
$106.72
Value
$103.7
PnL
-$3.03
Record
57%
69652-52957 (122609)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.9
Value
—
PnL
-$0.9
Record
62%
43563-26490 (70053)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$7.97
Value
$9.37
PnL
+$2.33
Record
65%
21488-11804 (33292)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
52%
89240-83721 (172961)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$6.51
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.49
Record
61%
93762-58955 (152717)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x48e994e1...1ba9cd
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793183400