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DownDownUpUpUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Up 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$67.82
Combined PnL
-$29.29
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares18
Combined PnL-$19.08
Up3 traders
Total Value$27.7
Total Shares28
Combined PnL-$10.21
Down β 25%Up β 75%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 51.7Β’ | $59.9 | $40.12 | -$19.78 | 57% 69652-52957 (122609) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 51.7Β’ | $30.23 | β | -$30.23 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 74Β’ | $29.68 | $40.12 | +$10.44 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 53.7Β’ | $19.08 | β | -$19.08 | 68% 98729-47027 (145756) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 95Β’ | $24.19 | $13.7 | -$10.49 | 65% 21488-11804 (33292) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $6.86 | $7 | +$0.14 | 61% 93762-58955 (152717) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $6.86 | $7 | +$0.14 | 52% 89240-83721 (172961) |
UN
uninformedflowwARB<$100Invested
$59.9
Value
$40.12
PnL
-$19.78
Record
57%
69652-52957 (122609)
Both legs:
Down$30.2351.7Β’-$30.23
Up$29.6874Β’+$10.44
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$19.08
Value
β
PnL
-$19.08
Record
68%
98729-47027 (145756)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$24.19
Value
$13.7
PnL
-$10.49
Record
65%
21488-11804 (33292)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$6.86
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.14
Record
61%
93762-58955 (152717)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$6.86
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.14
Record
52%
89240-83721 (172961)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0fe12216...87ccd1
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793182800