Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 63%
$41.89
-$16
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 76.6¢ | $18.52 | $16.61 | -$1.91 | 65% 21160-11608 (32768) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $13.43 | $13 | -$0.43 | 66% 124265-63963 (188228) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $13.75 | $12.28 | -$1.46 | 68% 98678-46986 (145664) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.2¢ | $4.21 | — | -$4.21 | 55% 43897-36336 (80233) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 57% 69319-52768 (122087) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.4¢ | $3.61 | — | -$3.61 | 61% 93655-58890 (152545) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $3.08 | — | -$3.08 | 52% 89153-83609 (172762) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 111403-57662 (169065) |
Invested
$18.52
Value
$16.61
PnL
-$1.91
Record
65%
21160-11608 (32768)
Invested
$13.43
Value
$13
PnL
-$0.43
Record
66%
124265-63963 (188228)
Invested
$13.75
Value
$12.28
PnL
-$1.46
Record
68%
98678-46986 (145664)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.21
Value
—
PnL
-$4.21
Record
55%
43897-36336 (80233)
Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
57%
69319-52768 (122087)
Invested
$3.61
Value
—
PnL
-$3.61
Record
61%
93655-58890 (152545)
Invested
$3.08
Value
—
PnL
-$3.08
Record
52%
89153-83609 (172762)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111403-57662 (169065)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.