Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$91.99

Combined PnL

-$0.82

Down

4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down4 traders

Total Value$39.03

Total Shares39

Combined PnL+$0.58

Up1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares14

Combined PnL-$1.4

Down — 80%Up — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100	Downavg 84.5¢	$79.32	$52.96	-$26.36	57% 69319-52768 (122087)
└ Down leg	Downavg 84.5¢	$44.77	$52.96	+$8.19
└ Up leg	Upavg 75.1¢	$34.55	—	-$34.55
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 69.1¢	$10.72	$13.05	+$2.33	52% 89153-83609 (172762)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 77.7¢	$18.56	$16.68	-$1.89	66% 124265-63963 (188228)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 10¢	$1.4	—	-$1.4	55% 43897-36336 (80233)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 99¢	$8.91	$9	+$0.09	61% 93655-58890 (152545)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 85¢	$0.26	$0.3	+$0.04	65% 21160-11608 (32768)