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DownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$84.29
Combined PnL
$11.78
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$84.29
Total Shares84
Combined PnL+$14.44
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares26
Combined PnL-$2.66
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 76.4¢ | $49.13 | $64.29 | +$15.16 | 57% 69318-52757 (122075) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98.4¢ | $20.72 | $20 | -$0.72 | 61% 93625-58870 (152495) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 55% 43879-36307 (80186) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 52% 89117-83588 (172705) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.14 | — | -$0.14 | 48% 22992-25043 (48035) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$49.13
Value
$64.29
PnL
+$15.16
Record
57%
69318-52757 (122075)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$20.72
Value
$20
PnL
-$0.72
Record
61%
93625-58870 (152495)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
55%
43879-36307 (80186)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
52%
89117-83588 (172705)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$0.14
Value
—
PnL
-$0.14
Record
48%
22992-25043 (48035)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6275ab6c...5fb602
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793160600